As far as we know, until 1876 no specific result was obtained concerning the topology of nonsingular real plane curves of an arbitrary degree. The year 1876 is often considered as the beginning of the topological study of real algebraic curves. Prior to that topological properties were not separated from other geometric properties, which are more subtle and could keep geometers busy with curves of a few lower degrees.
In 1876 A. Harnack published a paper [5] where he found an exact upper bound for the number of components for a curve of a given degree. Harnack proved that the number of components of a real plane projective curve of degree is at most . On the other hand, for any natural number he constructed a nonsingular real projective curve of degree with components, which shows that his estimate cannot be improved without introducing new ingredients.
It was D. Hilbert who made the first attempt to study systematically topology of nonsingular real plane algebraic curves. The first difficult special problems he met were related to curves of degree 6.
Hilbert suggested that from a topological viewpoint the most interesting are the curves having the maximal number of components among curves of a given degree . Hilbert's guess was strongly confirmed by the whole subsequent development of the field. Now, following I. Petrovsky, these curves are called M-curves.
Hilbert succeeded in constructing M-curves of degree with mutual position of components different from the ones realized by Harnack. However he realized only one new real scheme of degree 6. See Figure 4 where the real schemes of Harnack's and Hilbert's curves of degree 6 are shown. Hilbert conjectured that these are the only real schemes realizable by M-curves of degree 6 and for a long time claimed that he had a (long) proof of this conjecture. Even being false (it was disproved by D. A. Gudkov in 1969, who constructed a curve with the real scheme shown in Figure 5) this conjecture captured the essence of what in the 30-th and 70-th became the core of the theory.
In fact, Hilbert invented a method which allows one to answer all questions on the topology of curves of degree 6. It involves a detailed analysis of singular curves which could be obtained from a given nonsingular one. The method required complicated fragments of singularity theory, which had not been elaborated at the time of Hilbert. It was only in the sixties that this project was completely realized. A complete table of real schemes of curves of degree 6 was obtained by Gudkov.
Coming back to Hilbert, we should mention his famous list of problems [7]. He included in the list, as a part of the sixteenth problem, a general question on topology of real algebraic varieties and more special questions like the problem on the mutual position of components of a plane curve of degree 6.
One curious aspect of this problem seems to be its number in the list. The number sixteen plays a very special role in the topology of real algebraic varieties. It is difficult to believe that Hilbert was aware of that. It became clear only in the beginning of seventies (see Rokhlin's paper ``Congruences modulo 16 in Hilbert's sixteenth problem'' [15]). Nonetheless, sixteen was the number assigned by Hilbert to the problem.
In 1906 V. Ragsdale [14] made a remarkable attempt to analyze Harnack's and Hilbert's constructions to guess new restrictions on topology of curves. To a great extent the success of her analysis was due to the right choice of parameters of a real scheme.
Ragsdale suggested considering separately the case of curves of even degree . Each connected component of the set of real points of a curve of even degree is an oval (i. e., positioned in two-sidedly and divides into two parts). An oval of a curve is called even (resp. odd) if it lies inside of an even (resp. odd) number of other ovals of this curve. The number of even ovals of a curve is denoted by , the number of odd ovals by .
It was Ragsdale who suggested distinguishing even and odd ovals. Ragsdale provided good reasons why one should pay special attention to and . A curve of an even degree divides the plane into two pieces with a common boundary (these pieces are the subsets of where a polynomial defining the curve takes positive and negative values, respectively). One of these pieces is nonorientable, it is denoted by . The other one is denoted by . The numbers and are the fundamental topological characteristics of and . Namely, is the number of connected components of , and is the number of connected components of (exactly one component of is nonorientable, so is the number of orientable components of ). Ragsdale singled out also the difference motivating this by the fact that it is the Euler characteristic of . It is amazing that essentially these considerations were stated in a paper in 1906!
This motivated the following conjecture.
Writing cautiously, Ragsdale formulated also weaker conjectures. About thirty years later I. G. Petrovsky [11], [12] proved one of these weaker conjectures.
It is clear from [11] and [12], that Petrovsky was not familiar with Ragsdale's paper. But his proof runs along the lines indicated by Ragsdale. He also reduced the problem to estimates of the Euler characteristic of the pencil curves, but he went further: he proved these estimates using the Euler-Jacobi formula.
Petrovsky also formulated conjectures about the upper bounds for and . His conjecture about was more cautious (by 1).
Both the Ragsdale Conjecture formulated above and its version stated by Petrovsky [12] are wrong. However they stood for a rather long time: the Ragsdale Conjecture for was disproved by O. Y. Viro [16] in 1979. Viro's disproof looked rather like an improvement of the conjecture, since in the counter-examples . In 1993 Ragsdale-Petrovsky bounds were disproven by a considerable margin in I. V. Itenberg [8]: in Itenberg's counter-examples the difference between (or ) and is a quadratic function of (see below).
The numbers and introduced by Ragsdale occur in many of the prohibitions that were subsequently discovered. While giving full credit to Ragsdale for her insight, we must also say that, if she had looked more carefully at the experimental data available to her, she should have been able to find some of these prohibitions. For example, it is not clear what stopped her from making the conjectures which were made by Gudkov [2] in the late 1960's. In particular, the experimental data could suggest the formulation of the Gudkov-Rokhlin congruence [15]: for any M-curve of even degree
Maybe mathematicians trying to conjecture restrictions on some integer should keep this case in mind as evidence that restrictions can have not only the shape of an inequality, but a congruence. Proof of these Gudkov's conjectures initiated by Arnold [1] and completed by Rokhlin [15], Kharlamov [9], Gudkov and Krakhnov [3] marked the beginning of the most recent stage in the development of the topology of real algebraic curves.
Which of Ragsdale's questions are still open now? The inequalities